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NAPW Sole Survivor Odds
Sole Survivor Vegas Odds
By Scotty Slammy
Sole Survivor has come to be known as the biggest event on the NAPW calendar. It is a unique match. A 30-man Over-The-Top-Rope Battle Royale with staggered entrances, a new wrestler entering every two minutes. Two men enter and luck of the draw determines the next wrestler out. Order of entrance can have a huge impact on a wrestler's chances - an early entrance proves an uphill battle all night long, a late entrance means you come in fresh near the end of what is guaranteed to be a sixty-minute match.
This year, Sole Survivor appears to be wide open, and NAPW-online's very own Scotty Slammy brings you all the info you need to conduct your illegal gambling at Jack Attack's bookie emporium.
Ravager: 5 - 1
Ravager NEEDS this win. Bad. More over, he's a workhorse. He could come in early and still carry the match. He has the skill, the endurance, the drive AND the motivation. That makes Ravager the man to beat... but it also makes him a very tantalizing target.
"The Show" Chad Kurtis: 8 - 1
In the NAPW, The Show has been on a roll lately. Some huge wins over Dan Ryan and KRENSHOV have really put him on the fast track, and I wager he'll soon be in the title picture with or without a Sole Survivor win. That said, he could very well take this home as some collateral. In the ring, Chad's got raw talent and the versatility to handle multiple opponents. He might get overwhelmed if he comes in early, but if he comes in late, it could be The Show's night.
"Bluegrass Badass" Matthew Kurtis: 10 - 1
Matt Kurtis has one HUGE advantage over the competition. He's one of the biggest damn men in the NAPW, and in a competition where you have to be thrown over the top rope that one of the BIGGEST advantages. That said, Matt's got few friends in this match, and many enemies. If he gets isolated by the WGA... well, even gnats can kill you if there's enough of them.
Jake Phoenix: 2 - 1
Who hates Jake Phoenix, you ask. The answer, it turns out, is everyone. Jake has no friends going into this match, and everyone knows that he's a favourite to win. The problem, you see, is that he's a favourite for a REASON. Phoenix is a monster, a powerhouse. If he gets lucky and comes in late in the match, I daresay that he probably couldn't lose it. If he comes in earlier, he's going to be targeted again and again, and he'll find himself spread too thin.
Stone Zellor: 15 - 1
Stone is coming off a devastating loss. Though skillful, and armed with the kind of endurance to last in a long match, Stone's mind won't be in the game. He'll be on the lookout for Trent Daniels, and no one else. If he can get that elimination, he might just get back into things, but that's a long shot.
Thomas Deathrow: 20 - 1
SUPERSTAR Tommy Deathrow is a hard hitter, and a reckless wrestler. Does he have the stamina to last in a battle royal situation, though? Moreover, he's a tag team specialist. Deathrow has throughout his NAPW career, been almost exclusively in the tag team division. Unless you manage to get lucky, and have your partner in the ring with you, you're on your own in this kind of match. History sets a bad precedent for Tommy Deathrow in the Sole Survivor match. He'll definitely be fighting to overcome the odds.
Krusty Kid Paul: 15 - 1
KKP is in the same boat as his tag team partner. An almost dedicated tag team wrestler with a reckless streak, he's going to have an uphill battle through Sole Survivor. That said, KKP also holds a record for the most eliminations in a battle royal in the NAPW. That certainly shows he's got potential, but will it be enough to win the whole thing?
Teddy Davis: 12 - 1
A technician with a pretty big ego, Teddy Davis is going into this match with a lot to prove, and the potential to prove it. As an added bonus, he's got a friend in the match to watch his back. However he's just come off of a pretty terrible loss that tripped up the debut of his tag team. That may have killed some of his momentum going into this match up. Still, Teddy might surprise everyone and go the distance.
David Gage: 12 - 1
Another technician with a pretty big ego. Another wrestler with someone watching his back. Another person who just had his momentum shot by an unexpected loss. But that's a tag team match. David Gage is a solid wrestler, and had a very real chance of winning this if his head is in the game. He just has to be able to beat not only the odds-on favourites... but his brand new tag team partner.
Dez Carter: 8 - 1
Wow, Dez has some good odds! Why is that? Because he very nearly went the distance last year, and that kind of thing affects the odds! He's got a good head on his shoulders, and experience lasting in the Sole Survivor match. If he keeps his wits about him, he might just be able to surprise everyone this year, and take home the win.
Bruce "The Beast" Richards: 3 - 1
The Beast is in better shape right now than he has been in years, and with the monkey that is Donovan Astros off his back, he can focus on getting the NAPW World Title back. After two rather dismal showings in Sole Survivor in the past two years, Richards is in a prime spot to make an impact now. If he can overcome Phoenix and Ravager... no one will stop him from winning this match.
Stein: 6 - 1
There's something not quite right about Stein. But who knows? Unusual might be just the edge you need. Stein almost eliminated D! in the first Sole Survivor match, and in 2006, D! was the man to beat. This year, Jake Phoenix, Bruce Richards and Ravager are the men to beat. Maybe Stein can.
"The Falcon" Jacob Venar: 20 - 1
This morning, The Falcon had 10 - 1 odds. Then he asked for the #1 spot in the match. Coming off a concussion, angry about losing a shot at the Heritage Title, and known for being a risk-taker in a match where risks can spell defeat... Venar is really spreading himself thin. He has a long match ahead, and he's not in the best shape. But he's got a lot of guts, and the desire to prove himself. Who knows? The Falcon is definitely my Dark Horse pick to win it.
"LDK" Lloyd Rees: 18 - 1
I'd normally give LDK better odds, say 6 - 1, but he's got a gruelling match against Chris Casino before he ever sets foot into Sole Survivor. Every minute that his match against Casino lasts is a minute of stamina lost going into Sole Survivor. Rees is in for a long night. I CAN say that I see Rees winning a Sole Survivor match one day... but I don't think 2008 is his year.
Trent Daniels: 8 - 1
Hello brand new Heritage Champion! Daniels has all the momentum in the world coming into Sole Survivor, and just proved himself in a match filled to the brim with excellent wrestlers. If he can keep himself focused on the goal, he might just win a shot at putting a second belt around his waist this year.
The Expositioner: 25 - 1
Nothing against Expo, but he's a tag team specialist in a match where there can be only one. Coupled with a rough match against the SAD earlier in the night - a team that nearly ended his career - and Expositioner really doesn't seem to have much of a chance. Best of luck, though.
Mystic Ninja: 15 - 1
And yet, Mystic Ninja has better odds. He holds an impressive win over the former NAPW World Champion, and very nearly won himself the title in recent months. Ninja is on the road to success in the NAPW, and Sole Survivor might be the stepping stone into another World Title match. Still, a match against a rough team like SAD earlier in the night kills a LOT of Mystic Ninja's strength going into this thing.
"Hard Hittin'" Hank Henderson AND "The Dynasty" Dan Miller: 18 - 1
I keep saying it, but it's the truth. Tag team specialists have a disadvantage going into a battle royal situation. You can't guarantee that your partner will be there, and eventually you have to face the fact that you'll have to eliminate them. Southern Destruction has quite a hurdle to overcome if either of them wants to win it, but if they want it THAT BAD... maybe one of them can step up and claim the win.
"Bad Boy" Joey Malone: 30 - 1
If there's one thing Joey Malone is good at, it's blowing it. No miracle here folks.
Chris Kamikaze: 30 - 1
Will eliminate himself with a botch if he isn't lawn darted into the third row by Matt Kurtis.
Big Mitch: 28 - 1
Has only slightly better odds than the rest of the WGA because he's so damn FAT.
Esteban: 30 - 1
HA HA HA HA. Yeah.
"The Moose" Mark Millar: 22 - 1
Moose has some power, a mean streak, and a history with the NAPW that includes some impressive matches. He's been out of the ring for quite some time, but stranger things have happened. Having allies in Matt Kurtis and Wayne Wright definitely helps.
Wayne Wright: 28 - 1
I actually think Joey Malone has a better NAPW record than Wayne... but Wayne's new attitude and friends give him a little bit of an edge. Still... I don't think there's any miracle here. Wright's in over his head, and short of the Moose saving him again and again, he's petty much hopeless.
EXTRA SPECIAL GUESSING GAME!
Who will be the five mystery entrants?
1. DONOVAN ASTROS
Why quit the NAPW so abruptly? So that he can sign one of those juicy open contracts, enter the Sole Survivor match, and win a shot at the title he just lost from KRENSHOV, circumventing his suspension, of course! It's really quite brilliant, and kudos for Donovan Astros for coming up with it. Shame I figured it out.
2. CALIBAN
This guy pops up year after year and never wins the damn thing. Still tends to wreck everyone up pretty bad, though. Be on the lookout.
3. THE PLAGUE
What would a Sole Survivor match be without a huge and surprising come back? Ravager will die a little inside seeing Plague coming to the ring. Would certainly be the Holy Shit moment of the match.
4. CHRIS CASINO
Is Casino planning on sticking around? If he is he'll likely sneak into the match somehow. My guess is he beats the shit out of Nightmare, who was the real 4th mystery entrant, and takes his spot. Because Casino's a jerk, duh.
5. THE BEE
WHO IS THE BEE!?
Comments? Thoughts?
Or maybe you just want to prove me wrong?
GO WIN THAT THING!
http://www.napw-online.com
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